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 Phil Emery: Developing late-round quarterbacks doesn’t work

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PostSubject: Re: Phil Emery: Developing late-round quarterbacks doesn’t work   Mon May 05, 2014 2:17 am

Drafting a quarterback is almost a crap shoot. You might draft the next Peyton Manning, but you almost might draft the next Ryan Leaf. Look back over the past few decades, and the first round is littered with busts. Occasionally, a diamond in the rough can be found in later rounds. Take the 2002 draft, for instance:

There were three highly touted QBs taken in the first round ...David Carr (Pick 1), Joey Harrington (Pick 3), and Patrick Ramsey (Pick 32). All three were busts. Meanwhile, the Jags picked up David Garrard in the fourth round. Garrard was no Tom Brady, but he was decent and worked out better than the three QBs drafted in the first round.

Oddly, in last year's championship games, only one of the four QBs (Manning) was drafted in the first round.

But yeah, I'm pointing out a few of the exceptions. If you look back at all the QBs drafted since 2000, only a few who were drafted beyond the early second round ended up making it in the NFL. Even the few who ended up being starters and having a decent career, none of them came anywhere near the level of success that Brady has achieved. Recent history (I looked back only to 2000) says that if you draft a QB beyond about the 40th overall pick, chances are unlikely that he'll ever be a starter in the NFL.


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Phil Emery: Developing late-round quarterbacks doesn’t work
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